theclosetconservative.com

Actually, I’ll share my thoughts but talk about other peoples’s predictions. On this past Saturday’s episode of the Beltway Boys, Mort Kondracke predicted that Obama would get 379 electoral votes. Fred Barnes predicted a win for McCain with 286 electoral votes, essentially maintaining the margin of George W. Bush against John Kerry in 2004. Bill Krystol was less sanguine about McCain’s margin on Special Report with Brit Hume, claiming that McCain would squeak by with 272 electoral votes, and even predicting that McCain could also lose the popular vote in the process of a slim state by state win. Actually if McCain flips New Mexico, loses Colorado and Pennsylvania, but holds onto the other traditional red states including Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina, Indiana, and Nevada he just eeks out a victory with the bare majority of 270 votes to Obama’s 268.

The bottom line is the road to victory for McCain is more difficult, or is it? The polls have been all over the place, but the momentum has shifted to McCain in the waining hours. Obama’s remarks about bankrupting the coal industry can’t be helping him in parts of Pennsylvania, Ohio, West Virginia, and Virginia. Has the momentum been properly measured. Dick Morris says there’s no way to know, because the pollsters have recalibrated how they weight the samples based on a new model expecting many more voters that in the end may not even show up. The independent group running Reverand Wright ads that put his harangue of G-D America on a seemingly endless loop are a constant reminder of Obama’s judgement, or lack thereof. Anyone who could sit in that church for 20 years and look people in the eye and say he wasn’t there for those type of controversial remarks gets my BS meter pegging the board. Add to that an article from Worldnetdaily, about an Obama speechwriter named Wendy Button who’s defected to McCain. She’s written for the Huffington Post, and authored speeches for Barack and Michelle Obama, John Kerry, and Hillary Clinton. She made the announcement in a blog post called “So Long Democrats” in The Daily Beast. Among reaons given were that her party belittled working people in this campaign, and was also part of tearing down two female candidates. Ouch!

We know the media’s completely corrupt, McCain’s run a bad campaign, and yet it might not send Obama to the White House. How many people tell the pollsters what they want to hear because of how politically incorrect to tell them they’re not voting for “The One?” As Dick Morris pointed out, it’s impossible to know. Whatever you see, hear, or read in the news, vote anyway. If like me, you don’t wish to see somebody this far to the left of Bill Clinton, (or even Jimmy Carter or George McGovern) to occupy the Oval Office, then vote for John McCain, even if the talking heads tell you he has no chance. If they’re right, life goes on, and we live to say “I Told you so” when President Obama tanks the economy, guts defense, and we get ready for 1994 revisited in the 2010 congressional elections. If they’re wrong, we’ve got some serious bragging rights, not to mention the stock market will go up…and maybe the jobless number will inch back toward a downward trajectory. Whatever happens, let’s get out, vote, and have fun.

Even my liberal Democratic friends need to pay attention. There are people with whom I’ve been friends for a long time that just don’t see eye to eye with me as it relates to certain issues and/or candidates. But we are potentially on the verge of electing a Democratic nominee that is to the left of Jimmy Carter and George McGovern. (So far to the left that I could see Josef Stalin’s hair waving in the breeze as Obama passed by.) Some people may not appreciate my attempt at humor. but the central point is true. Obama is even in favor of a card check initiative in voting to join a union. It’s called “The Employee Free Choice Act,” in the most Orwellian use of the English language I’ve ever heard. What it would do if implamented is end the secret ballot. Even Senator McGovern himself has appeared on ads calling the act “a threat to democracy.” Barack Obama has set a moving target on who would or would not get a tax cut. Between his own statements, his infomercial, the words of his running mate, and the words of Bill RIchardson, people making below $250,000 would see their taxes cut. In the infomercial, its was $200,000. Joe Biden said (on tape) that people making below $150,000 would see their taxes cut. Former Governor RIchardson said it should be $120,000. If you can remember a time after the mid-60’s when a large tax cut was instituted under a Democratic administration, please advise me because I seem to have missed that headline. The true headline is this. For anyone who opposed President George W. Bush because of out of control spending, and buget deficits (a criticism he well deserves), get ready for an exponential increase of both. The cuts, if any, will come from defense. And if you want to know what a President Obama would do with taxes, look at what he has done as a Senator. He voted for a piece of legislation that if enacted would increase taxes on anyone with an income of $42,000 and above.

Speaking of defense: Do you realistically think that this fellow with ties to some unsavory anti-Isaraeli Arabs is the man for the job he’s going for. The L.A. TImes has a tape of Senator Obama toasting such a man that we will not likely see until after the election. A man that urges both sides to exercise restraint during the Russian attack on Georgia. I believe Senator Obama’s unqualified for the job on that basis alone. His words betray a profound ignorance of world affairs, or else he wouldn’t put out a moral equivalency on the nation attacked with an attacking nation.

This is ground that has been well covered by the alternative media, but the fact is for you liberal democrats that want a victory in this election from Senator Obama, it may well be a pyrrhic victory, for the liberal movement could be so discredited that by 2010, a 1994 type realignment in the Congress could well happen again, paving the way for a true dominance of conservatives for many years. And the word liberal could be the kiss of death for many years in the future. This is just an opinion, a potential possibility. The dominant media will do its best to rewrite history while we live it. The usual suspects will tell us to believe in this man, even if it becomes obvious that his far left policies don’t work, on the domestic or defense fronts. You don’t have to agree with me on every issue, but for a lot of Democrats, Joe Lieberman is still considered one of the most thoughtful well respected men on Capitol Hill. Look at how he was treated byt the extreme left wing of your own party. And as you consider who you’ll pull the lever for this Tuesday, ask yourself, who is Joe Lieberman supporting?

That’s a phrase that Dick Morris used it Monday night on Hannity & Colmes to describe Barack Obama. His prediction a week to the day was that if John McCain pounded away at Obama on the argument that he’s not only a tax and spend liberal, but a socialist, that his poll numbers would start to turn around. He also said that by Monday 10/27/08 that if there was no movement, McCain was basically cooked. However, the numbers are turning around. Whether or not it’ll be enough remains to be seen. But when Alan Colmes had his turn at Morris, he said Obama is hemorraging voters. One has to wonder why he needs what appears to be a major multi-state voter fraud strategy in place to assure victory. Ohio is the state most apparently in danger of having the election stolen by unscrupulous Democrats and their enablers: ACORN, the Ohio Secretary Of State, and the Supreme Court. And with this in mind the Obama campaign feels they have to push back, and push back hard at anyone expressing a contrary opinion (Joe the Plumber) or any reporter who asks a tough question. (Barbara West of WFTV Channnel 9 in Orlando) Joe Biden in a performance that can best be described as a Saturday Night Live bit waiting to happen. And with all this material on the Democratic ticket, the best that the media can muster is an attack on the perceived extravagance of Sarah Palin’s clothes.

We know that something is changing. I can’t put my finger on it, but I feel that between the media’s obvious bias, the Democrats’ attack on Joe the Plumber, Barbara West, and anyone who contests the phony narrative the Obama campaign wants to put out, that the law of unintended consequences could play out. Obama and his surrogates are muscling anyone who bursts their bubble. The L.A. TImes is now suppressing a tape from 2003 that reportedly shows Barack Obama attending a party with Bill Ayers, Bernadine Dohrn for Khalid Rashidi. The man is a former spokesperson for the PLO, and his current profession? University Professor. Who knew? (Barack Obama is reportedly toasting Rashidi in this video.) Does anyone think that if the L.A. Times had been in possesion of a tape equally damning to John McCain or Sarah Palin that it wouldn’t be on the front page of every major newspaper and leading off the nightly newscasts? The good news is that while the MSM is totally corrupt, people have begun to figure it out. The Democrats and their enablers just had to overreach. And if the poll shifts continue, there’s an outside chance that it just may come back and bite them on Election Day. Chin-up fellow conservatives, and independents that have not taken a drink of Obama Kool-Aid. We just may end up being blessed by our opponents.